Trend Detective
Settings Built with AI assistance

How we calculated this

Tap or hover the chart to read a month.

Exact rate and range

How easily luck explains it

The numbers

Caveats and notes

    How to read the chart

    From the dataset

    • Raw monthly value (upper chart)

    Our calculation

    • Seasons removed (lower chart)
    • Yearly average, seasons removed
    • Trend line
    • No-change line
    • Range of the trend

    Gaps in the line are months with no data.

    Show the data as a table
    Month

    How to read this

    Seasons removed: we subtract each calendar month's average, so summer and winter don't hide a slow change.

    The shaded band: the range of slopes the data can support. If a flat line fits inside it, we can't call the change real.

    p-value: smaller means harder to explain by luck alone. 0.05 is the usual line for calling a change clear.

    This shows whether a measurement changed here. It doesn't say why.